Predictions

The count starts late this evening, but this site runs a competition for its members to predict the results of coming elections. Here's the various predictions made for this by-election:

Tulse Hill Lab 64 Green 12 LD 9 Con 6 UKIP 4 TUSC 3 Ind 1 SPGB 1(or whichever other far left group it actually is)

Tulse Hill Lab 53 Green 9 LD 20 Con 5 UKIP 5 TUSC 2 Ind 3 Socialist 3

LAMBETH - Lab 59, LD 14, Grn 10, UKIP 7, Con 5, TUSC 3, Ind 1, Soc 1

Lambeth, Tulse Hill: Lab 52, LD 17, Green 11, UKIP 7,Con 6, TUSC 3, Ind 3, Soc 1

Lambeth: Con 8, Lab 43, LD 13, UKIP 12, Green 17, TUSC 3, Soc 2, Ind 2

Lambeth LB - Tulse Hill
Lab 60.1%
LD 12.1%
Grn 10.7%
Con 7.9%
UKIP 4.8%
TUSC 2.1%
Ind 1.4%
SPGB 0.9%

LAMBETH - Tulse Hill
Amna AHMAD (Liberal Democrats) 10.4
Mary ATKINS (The Labour Party Candidate) 59.6
Bernard ATWELL (Green Party) 15.3
Timothy BRIGGS (Conservative Party Candidate) 8
Adam BUICK (The Socialist Party (GB)) 1.6
Elizabeth JONES (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 2.5
Steve NALLY (Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition) 1.1
Valentine WALKER (Independent) 1.5

It's interesting that the figures are given in percentages because the absolute number of votes will be influenced by the turnout which could fall below 20%, giving the new councillor the legitimacy of a Police commissioner.

The winner of the competition will be evident by about midnight.

The dying embers

Last night I went out on the leaflet run. I tried handing one to a dustman:

"Is it voting? Coz I don't vote." - he refused the leaflet.

Ringing a buzzer on a council block (see my rants about this passim) I said:
"I'm delivery European election leaflets."
"I'm not interested." *click* was the reply - one persons uninterest denying an entire block of people from receiving leaflets.

One woman refused the leaflet because she'd already voted by post. She hadn't voted for us.

People stormed out of their Islington homes to demand "what're you putting through my door", but I had already moved away, and was only just in ear shiot.

Uninterest rules the roost. So, I'll try and end with a bit more baiting of the Christian party.

Apparently, well, OK, let me let them tell their own story, from the last Welsh Assembly elections:
The [Welsh Christian Party's] leader, the Rev George Hargreaves, said, "We will not allow this evil symbol of the devil to reign over Wales for another moment.

"Wales is the only country in history to have a red dragon on its national flag.

"This is the very symbol of the devil described in The Book of Revelation 12:3.

"This is nothing less than the sign of Satan, the devil, Lucifer that ancient serpent who deceived Adam and Eve in the Garden of Eden.

"No other nation has had this red dragon as its ruling symbol.

"Wales has been under demonic oppression and under many curses because of this unwise choice.

This is what we're up against.